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USD: FOMC Already Made Up Their Mind On Next Move – Barclays

On Wednesday, the minutes corresponding to the July 28-29 FOMC meeting are going to be released.

"We do not expect a material change and we anticipate that the document will echo the latest comments from different FOMC members. We think they will want to keep options open and will probably signal the data dependency of their decisions ahead. We believe that the FOMC has already made up their mind about their next move, absent any market disruptive events in the months ahead. Our base case remains a September Fed hike," Barclays argues.

"Furthermore, we argued that the actual path of the normalization process will be more important for FX markets. The pace at which the Fed could tighten monetary conditions should depend heavily on price measures," Barclays adds.

"We expect the USD to be supported in the next weeks mainly due to external factors. Fears around China and weak commodity prices should keep pushing investors out of risky assets, benefiting the USD under different scenarios," Barclays projects.

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