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Intraday Outlooks For EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, Oil – SEB

The following are the intraday outlooks for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and Oil as provided by the technical strategy team at SEB Group.

EUR/USD: Wave count altered below 1.1215. The earlier favored wave count held one more high likely before down, but the below-1.1215 overlap forced reassessment and this puts a correctional high likely in place. Current intraday stretches (slightly widened since volatility has increased) are located at 1.1155 & 1.1380.

EURUSD

USD/JPY: Targeting 121.80\122.70. With 120.40 cautiously but still bullishly violated.a near­ term 122.70 “Equality point” has come into view (with a speed bump at a short-term 61.8% Fibo retracement ref at 121.80. Loss of support at 118.25 would be renewed bearish and set sight on lows under 116.15. Current intraday stretches are located at 119.60 & 122.05.

USDJPY

GBP/USD: Headed into a sub-1.5330 break. A “B-wave low” at 1.5424 was violated yesterday and this put pressure on an earlier low at 1.5330. If a rebound materializes it ought to be short & shallow and not able to produce a break back through resistance at 1.5545\95. Current intraday stretches are located at 1.5320 & 1.5550.

GBPUSD

Brent Crude: Impressive Comeback. A “wave V/3 low” is likely in place now and should be 50,00 followed by a correctional “A-B-C”. With trendline resistance decisively broken and the short-term (Fibo-adjusted) “Kijun- 48,00 Sen” under pressure (at market}, extension must be penciled 46,01) in towards 48.90 or even 51.69 later at least as long as 44,01) respecting support at 45.65.

Brent Crude

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