Subscribe to RSS

Forex Technical Analysis #C-NATGAS : 23 December 2015

Weather forecasts pushed gas prices up

On Monday natural gas prices edged up by almost 10% in the US on the weather forecasts that the first week of 2016 may be colder than usually. Last week gas prices have hit the low since March 1999. Will the uptrend correction of natural gas continue?

The US natural gas has lost almost 30% in price since this November partly due to the weaker demand amid abnormally warm weather. The demand for gas for heating fell by 20% in December compared to the last year’s level and by 30% compared to the average consumption in 30 years. Meanwhile, the US gas production contracted by the scarce 2% from 2014. Nevertheless, the US companies have increased twofold gas exports to Mexico so there is no critical glut. Market participants assume the gas may fall into deficit in case of the cold snap. The number of gas rigs fell 17 to 168 which is the lowest in 28 years, according to Baker Hughes. Power generating companies took advantage of the slumping prices. Given cheaper gas, the reduced the coil purchases and increased gas production to produce electricity by 34% compared to the 30-year average. The net volume of shorts in gas at NYMEX and ICE fell to the lowest since this September, as reported by U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Due to the season factor the US WTI oil prices may follow the steps of the gas and move upwards which, in its turn, may support the Russian ruble.

Natgas

On the daily chart Natgas: D1 is slightly on the rise having rebounded from its 16-year low. The Parabolic indicator gives buy signal while MACD still signals to sell. The Bollinger bands have widened severely which may mean higher volatility. RSI has left the oversold zone and is neutral, no divergence. On Tuesday the gas quotes have reached the gap but failed to close it and fell slightly. The bullish momentum may develop in case the gas rises in price to close the entire gap at 2.021. This level may serve the point of entry. The initial risk-limit may be placed below the 16-year low, the Parabolic signal and the last fractal low at 1.765. Having opened the pending order we shall move the stop to the next fractal low following the Parabolic signal and Bollinger signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. The most risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop-loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop-loss level at 1.765 without reaching the order at 2.021, we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Position Buy
Buy stop above 2,021
Stop loss below 1,765

0 commentsback to post

Add your comment

Nickname:
E-mail:
Website:
Comment:

Other articlesgo to homepage

Free $30 Earn Trade-able Trading Credit Bonus – Forex Time

Free $30 Earn Trade-able Trading Credit Bonus – Forex Time(0)

Switch to ForexTime and Free $30 Earn Trade-able Trading Credit Bonus. Join the hundreds of thousands of traders around the world who have already chosen ForexTime as a broker and Free Earn $30 Trade-able Trading Credit Bonus as a thank you for switching. Link:  Receive $30 Tradeable Credit Bonus Link:  Loyalty Cashback Promotions Link:  FX

$100 Risk Free Money on your Live Account – FidelisCM

$100 Risk Free Money on your Live Account – FidelisCM(0)

Get $100 Free Risk Forex Money on your Live Account There is no better way to trust more. Sign up for $100  No Deposit Bonus from FidelisCM Live Account and start forex trading now. Link: $100 Free No Deposit Forex Bonus Link: 200% Margin Bonus on all Deposit Available to: New and Existing clients Ending

$14000 New Accounts Bonus on Initial Deposits – AvaTrade

$14000 New Accounts Bonus on Initial Deposits – AvaTrade(0)

Up to $14000 New Accounts Bonus on your Initial Deposits to all new trading account. Open a new live trading account and verify it Make a deposit of no less than $100 and request the New Accounts Bonus. Link:  100% Bonus to Your First Deposit Link:  30% Sign-up Bonus on your Deposit Link:  Up to

Up to 200% Withdrawable Cashback Bonus – Forex Time

Up to 200% Withdrawable Cashback Bonus – Forex Time(0)

Always aims for profitable promotions for FXTM Customer, this time they have come up with a 200% Cashback Rebate Bonus promo which enables traders to earn up to 10,000 USD withdraw able Cashback bonus. Link:  Receive $30 Tradeable Credit Bonus Link:  FX Circuits Live Trading Contest Link:  Demo Forex Trading Contest Link:  Loyalty Cashback Promotions

$2500 Forex No Deposit Free Startup Bonus – InstaForex

$2500 Forex No Deposit Free Startup Bonus – InstaForex(0)

$2500 Free No Deposit Forex Bonus to Start Risk Forex Trading on InstaForex.com‎. With $2500 Free Forex Bonus you will be able to estimate our unsurpassed quality of order execution in live trading conditions with no risk and personal investments. Link:  Up to $5000 No Deposit Free Bonus Link:  $500 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus

100% Special Bonus Offer on a Deposit – World Forex

100% Special Bonus Offer on a Deposit – World Forex(0)

Get a 100% Special Bonus Offer on a Deposit plus for replenishment account And a free VPS server for every account replenishment in the amount of 100 USD. Link:  $10 No Deposit Forex Special Bonus Link:  Deposit $5 Receive $20 Special Bonus Link:  100% Forex Special Deposit Bonus Available to: All new trading account Ending

50 USD Forex No Deposit Bitcoin Bonus offer – UFX

50 USD Forex No Deposit Bitcoin Bonus offer – UFX(0)

$50 Forex No Deposit Bonus on their real account. This initial $50 Forex No Deposit Bonus offer is intended to allow new users of the platform the opportunity to test the real trading account. Link:  $50 No Deposit Bonus Promotion Link:  $50 Free No Deposit Bitcoin Bonus Link:  100% Real Money CashBack Promotion Available to:

Deposit $5 Receive $20 Forex Special Bonus – WForex

Deposit $5 Receive $20 Forex Special Bonus – WForex(0)

$10 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus or Deposit $5 Receive $20 Special Bonus Forex to all World Forex New Clients only. Trade with World Forex Broker Get 20$ or 10$ on your choice Link:  $10 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus Link:  Deposit $5 Receive $20 Special Bonus Available to: All new trading account Ending Date:

25 USD Receive Forex Cash Bonus for Free – Xtrade

25 USD Receive Forex Cash Bonus for Free – Xtrade(0)

$25 Receive Forex Cash Bonus for Free No deposit required to all Xtrade New Clients only and 60% Forex Deposit Bonus on your first time deposit to all new live trading account Link:  Up to $5000 No Deposit Free Bonus Link:  $500 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus Link:  $1000 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus Link: 

50% Deposit Bonus for Every Deposit – Fort Financial

50% Deposit Bonus for Every Deposit – Fort Financial(0)

Up to 50% Deposit Bonus for Every Deposit. Open and fund an account at FortFS.com and receive an exclusive 50% bonus on top of your initial investment up to $1000. Link: Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit Link: $5 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link: 15% Support Margin Bonus Available to: New and Existing

read more

Forex Featured Broker

Contacts and information

ForexDepositNews.com Forex Deposit Bonus, Forex No Deposit Bonus, Forex Live Contest, Forex Demo Contest, Free Forex Bonus Forex Brokers Review and Other All Forex promotions.

ForexDepositNews.com

Social networks

Most popular categories