Subscribe to RSS

Forex Technical Analysis #C-COTTON : 12 January 2016

Awaiting USDA report

On Tuesday, January 12, at 18:15 СЕТ the USDA will publish the forecast of cotton production volume and stockpiles at the end of 2015/16 season. Now the cotton price is hovering around the 6-year low since late August. Meanwhile, Pakistan expects its production to contract by 0.5mln bales of 480 pounds this season to 7.5mln bales which is the lowest since 1999. Pakistan ranks 4th among cotton producers and is one of its major importers with advanced light industry. Will cotton continue edging up?

Besides the expected crops fall in Pakistan, some other factors may determine the cotton prices as well. By the start of the last year, the global cotton prices fell by around 40% since 2014 to 8.56mln acres. For this reason, the cotton crop acres in the US fell to the 30-year low in 2015. Markets expect this year it may increase by 13% to 9.7mln acres while the estimate vary from 9 to 11mln acres. In our opinion, the official USDA outlook for the crop acres may influence the cotton prices. Another significant indicator is the outlook for the global cotton stockpiles in 2015/16. The reading is expected to exceed 100mln bales.

Cotton

On the daily chart Cotton:D1 is within a price trend slightly tilted upwards almost for a year. Parabolic and MACD indicators give sell signals. RSI has slightly corrected upwards from the oversold zone, no divergence. The Bollinger Bands are widening which may mean higher volatility. The momentum may develop in case the chart surpasses the 200-day moving average and the Parabolic signal at 63.7 or in case of falling below the lower price channel boundary at 60.2. The market will choose the direction. Two or more positions may be placed symmetrically: having opened one of the orders, the other may be deleted as the market has chosen the direction. Having opened the pending order we shall move the stop to the next fractal high (short position) and fractal low (long position) following the Parabolic signal every 4 hours. The most risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop-loss moving it in the direction of the trade. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Position Sell
Sell stop below 60.2
Stop loss above 63.7
Position Buy
Buy stop above 63.7
Stop loss below 60.2

0 commentsback to post

Add your comment

Nickname:
E-mail:
Website:
Comment:

Other articlesgo to homepage

Free $100 Non-Deposit Bonus to Everyone – PrivateFX

Free $100 Non-Deposit Bonus to Everyone – PrivateFX(0)

Free $100 Non-Deposit Bonus to Everyone for PrivateFX New Customers. Each new customer who open account from May 16 will get into his/her account a Free bonus of 100 USD to invest in PrivateFX Company’s tools Link:  $100 Non-Deposit Bonus to Everyone Available to: All new trading account Bonus Offer: Free $100 Non-Deposit Bonus to

300% Tradable Bonus plus Risk Free Trade – MarketsYes

300% Tradable Bonus plus Risk Free Trade – MarketsYes(0)

300% Forex Tradable Bonus Promotion and Risk Free Trade plus Forex Free Signals all New and existing clients. MarketsYes is offering all prospective clients deposit for up to 3000 USD/EUR/GBP a 300% Tradable Deposit Bonus. Link:  300% Tradable Bonus Promotion Link:  Risk Free Trade plus Forex Free Signals Available to: All New and existing clients

25% Forex Credit Bonus on their First Deposit – HYCM

25% Forex Credit Bonus on their First Deposit – HYCM(0)

25% Credit Forex Bonus Promo available on your Deposits. Experience Some of HYCM New Features, Services and Offers Receive 25% Forex trading credit bonus Link:  25% Trading Bonus on your Deposits Ending Date:  31 December 2017 Available to:   New Clients only Bonus Offer: 25% Forex Trading Bonus Promo Available on your deposits to New Clients only.

$25 Deposit and earn $5000 Cashback Bonus – UFX

$25 Deposit and earn $5000 Cashback Bonus – UFX(0)

100% Forex Real Money Cash-back Bonus Promotion to all new and existing clients. Join and gain exclusive access to the ONLY online trading 100% Forex Cashback rewards bonus program Link:  100% Real Money Cash-back Promotion Link:  $50 Forex No Deposit Bonus Promotion Available to: All new trading account Ending Date: 31 December 2018 Bonus offer:

Weekly Demo Trading Contest – Adamant Finance

Weekly Demo Trading Contest – Adamant Finance(0)

Weekly Forex Demo Trading Contest 2017 total amount of the prize fund is 1300USD. We announce traders’ contest for all who want to take part and to gain prizes. Link:  $50 No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link:  Weekly Forex Trading Contest Available to: All new and existing clients. Ending Date: 31 December 2017 Contest offer: Forex

$30 Fx Bonus to Your Account Completely Free – Fidelis

$30 Fx Bonus to Your Account Completely Free – Fidelis(0)

Get $30 No Deposit Fx Bonus Promotion in your Fidelis CM account and start your forex trading career. Open your new trading account with Fidelis CM in a few simple steps and get your $30 Fx Free No Deposit Bonus credited in your account. Link:  $30 Forex No Deposit Bonus Completely Free Available to: All

Free Forex Trading Signals Promotion – Forex Time

Free Forex Trading Signals Promotion – Forex Time(0)

FXTM Free Forex Trading Signals Spotting Trading Opportunities Just Got Easier and Up to 200% Withdrawable Cashback Rebates and get $4 Cashback back for every lot you trade. Link:  Free Forex Trading Signals Link:  Loyalty Cashback Promotions Link:  200% Withdraw able Cashback Rebates Ending Date: 31 December 2018 Available to: All Customers Bonus Offer: ForexTime

Free MT4 VPS plus 100% Welcome Bonus – FXGiants

Free MT4 VPS plus 100% Welcome Bonus – FXGiants(0)

FXGiants is offering its valued Trader  the exclusive 100% Maximiser Forex Welcome Bonus. Be rewarded with this unique offer and maximise your trading potential with NO limits. Link:  $35 No Deposit Bonus Promotion Link:  100% Maximiser Deposit Bonus. Link:  20% Bonus Advantage up to $2000 Available to: All new trading account Bonus offer: $35 No

$1000 Welcome Deposit Bonus Promotions – eToro

$1000 Welcome Deposit Bonus Promotions – eToro(0)

Get Forex Welcome Deposit Bonus Promotions code by eToro Forex Broker. Trade over 900 global instruments with most advance and friendly trading platform. Link:  Top Copy Trading Social Platforms Link: Up to $1000 Welcome Deposit Bonus Available to: All new account Ending Date: 31 December 2018 Bonus Offer: Get Forex Welcome Deposit Bonus Promotions code

$50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Free Bonus – ForexBull

$50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Free Bonus – ForexBull(0)

$50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Free Bonus is available to all new clients of ForexBull as well as for those who still haven’t got any previous No Deposit Welcome Free Bonuses from the company. Link:  $50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Available to: All new trading account Ending Date: 31 December 2017 Bonus offer: $50

read more

Forex Featured Broker

Contacts and information

ForexDepositNews.com Forex Deposit Bonus, Forex No Deposit Bonus, Forex Live Contest, Forex Demo Contest, Free Forex Bonus Forex Brokers Review and Other All Forex promotions.

ForexDepositNews.com

Social networks

Most popular categories