Subscribe to RSS

Forex Technical Analysis #C-COCOA : 3 February 2016

Weather takes a heavy toll on prices

Cocoa prices have slightly rebounded from the year low. Market participants worry the extremely hot and dry weather in the African Cote d’Ivoire may strongly affect the crops and reduce exports by 200 thousand tonnes. The shaping of the strongest over the last years Harmattan trade wind in Western Africa has been tracked. Will cocoa prices continue edging up?

Cote d’Ivoire accounts for around 35% of global cocoa production and ranks 1st by this measure. Second is the neighboring Ghana which produces 24% of global cocoa output and, in theory, may suffer the same from the drought and Harmattan wind. This agricultural year Cote d’Ivoire imported 1,063 mln. cocoa tonnes from October 1 to January 31 which is 3% less than in the same period last year (1,093 mln. tonnes). The daily cocoa prices increased in New York by 4% on Monday which was they record-high growth in 3.5 years. Meanwhile, in January the prices showed the record in 4 years 14%-a-month fall. According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data, the net long position in cocoa was formed in US exchanges.

Cocoa

On the daily chart Cocoa: D1 has verged the year low, failed to break through it and began correcting upwards. The MACD indicator gives buy signal while Parabolic has not reversed and still gives sell signal. The RSI indicator is edging up and has formed the positive divergence. It is being above 50. The Bollinger bnads have widened a lot which means high volatility. The bullish momentum may develop in case cocoa surtpasses the Monday high and the upper Parabolic signal at 2873. This level may serve the point of entry. The initial risk-limit may be placed below the last fractal low at 2732. Having opened the pending order we shall move the stop to the next fractal low following the Parabolic and Bollinger signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. The most risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place there a stop-loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop-loss level at 2732 without reaching the order at 2873, we recommend cancelling the position: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Position Buy
Buy stop above 2873
Stop loss below 2732

0 commentsback to post

Add your comment

Nickname:
E-mail:
Website:
Comment:

Other articlesgo to homepage

$10 Binary Options No Deposit Bonus – Hirose UK

$10 Binary Options No Deposit Bonus – Hirose UK(0)

$10 Binary Options Free No Deposit Bonus Campaign is available for new clients who open a Binary Option Account. It’s that simple. Link: $10 Free No Deposit Bonus Link: 50% First Deposit Bonus Available to: All new Binary Option Account Validity Date: 31 December 2017 Bonus Offer: $10 Binary Options Free No Deposit Bonus Campaign

$30 Free Bonus Plus 30% Deposit Bonus – Ayrex

$30 Free Bonus Plus 30% Deposit Bonus – Ayrex(0)

$30 Binary Options No Deposit Bonus to all New activated Clients. Ayrex presents its very first Binary Options No Deposit Bonus for new traders. Sign up to get FREE $30 and turn them into a fully withdrawable $200! This bonus allows you to profit without making an investment and trade binary options risk-free. Link:  $30

$50 Forex No Deposit Bonus Exclusive Offer – FortFS

$50 Forex No Deposit Bonus Exclusive Offer – FortFS(0)

$50 Forex No Deposit Bonus Exclusive Offer to New and Existing Traders. The $50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus can be received within the promotional time period, from 28.11.2016 to 07.12.2016 inclusive. Link:  $50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link:  Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit Link:  15% Support Margin Bonus Available to: New

$25 Countdown Forex Bonus Promotion 2017 – ForexTime

$25 Countdown Forex Bonus Promotion 2017 – ForexTime(0)

$25 Countdown Forex Bonus Promotion 2017 new and existing will be eligible traders. ForexTime is offering by receive a $25 credit bonus when they make a deposit of $300 into their accounts*. Link:  $25 Countdown Credit Bonus 2017 Link:  Loyalty Cashback Promotions Link:  $4 Cashback back for every lot Ending Date: 31 December 2016 Available

100% US NFP Bonus Promotion December 2016 – Xtrade

100% US NFP Bonus Promotion December 2016 – Xtrade(0)

Up to 100% Deposit Bonus Promotion to All New and Existing Customers. December 2016 US NFP Announcement Deposit NOW $1000 to $5000 and receive 100% bonus! Link:  $50 No Deposit Bonus Promotion Link: 100% Deposit Bonus Promotion Link:  Free Flight Tickets to Madrid Available to: All New and Existing Customers Bonus Ending Date: Valid 01/12

100% Welcome Bonus Plus Risk Free Trade – Trade12

100% Welcome Bonus Plus Risk Free Trade – Trade12(0)

Get 100% Welcome Deposit Bonus and 7-day risk free trade, Boost your trading with a free 100% Welcome Deposit Bonus to your Live Trading Account. Link:  Get 100% Welcome Bonus Link: 50% Exclusive Deposit Bonus Available to: All new clients Ending Date: 31 December 2016 Bonus Offer: Get 100% Welcome Deposit Bonus Plus 7-day risk

Get 25% Credit Bonus on their first Deposit – HYCM

Get 25% Credit Bonus on their first Deposit – HYCM(0)

25% Credit Bonus available on your Deposits. Experience Some of HYCM New Features, Services and Offers Receive 25% Forex trading credit bonus Link:  25% Trading Bonus on your Deposits Ending Date:  31 December 2016 Available to:   New Clients only Bonus Offer: 25% Trading Bonus Available on your deposits to New Clients only. This promotion is

$300 Free win Forex Trading Credit Bonus – easyMarkets

$300 Free win Forex Trading Credit Bonus – easyMarkets(0)

$300 Free win Forex Trading Credit Bonus to all new and existing clients. Answer the weekend quiz and fill the form with your correct and accurate contact details. Link:  50% Deposit Bonus Up to $2000 Link:  $300 Free win Trading Credit Bonus Link:  $25 Forex No Deposit Bonus Available to: All new and existing clients.

$25 Free Bonus Forex & Binary Options – MarketsYes

$25 Free Bonus Forex & Binary Options – MarketsYes(0)

$25 No Deposit Bonus Forex / CFD & Binary Options. in order to get the No Deposit Bonus they must register and during the registration it will be a place to paste the coupon code: wl25cm . Link: $25 Free Bonus Forex / CFD & Binary Options Available to: All New Traders. Ending Date: 31

$50 No Deposit Forex Welcome Bonus – Fort Financial

$50 No Deposit Forex Welcome Bonus – Fort Financial(0)

$50 No Deposit Forex Welcome Bonus to New and Existing Traders. The $50 No Deposit Forex Welcome Bonus can be received within the promotional time period, from 28.11.2016 to 07.12.2016 inclusive. Link: $50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link: Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit Link: 15% Support Margin Bonus Available to: New and

read more

Forex Featured Broker

Contacts and information

ForexDepositNews.com Forex Deposit Bonus, Forex No Deposit Bonus, Forex Live Contest, Forex Demo Contest, Free Forex Bonus Forex Brokers Review and Other All Forex promotions.

ForexDepositNews.com

Social networks

Most popular categories