Subscribe to RSS

Checking In On Our USD Correction Call – Morgan Stanley

ECB President Draghi successfully batted down the EUR by stating (a) policy needs to be re-examined in December and (b) further deposit rate cuts are firmly on the table, notes Morgan Stanley.

“While the EUR is not an explicit policy target, the central bank more than recognizes its importance to achieving its mandate. The Bank has learned from the difference in the EUR’s 2014 versus 2015 experience that rate cuts, as opposed to QE, have the biggest effect on EUR. Of course a combination of policy tools is the most powerful way to get rates lower across the curve and would have the biggest negative impact on EUR,” MS adds.

EURUSD

“We elect not to challenge this shift with EUR longs, but we still think the broad USD TWI has downside near-term. The fundamental reasons for our USD correction call are still intact, namely (1) China’s cyclical stabilization, (2) contained outflows from China and (3) subdued US growth and inflation that will keep the Fed cautious,” MS argues.

GBPUSD

“Next week’s US FOMC, GDP, core PCE and ECI data are unlikely to drive Fed expectations materially more hawkish. Upside surprises, especially in the wage data, present the key risks to our near-term USD view.

Still, over the medium term, we maintain our structural concerns on EM. Our preference is to be selective in long EM positions that focus on relative value,” MS adds.

Looking forward, MS expect EUR/USD to remain within a 1.08 to 1.15 range in the near-term.

‘This content has been provided under specific arrangement with eFXnews.’

0 commentsback to post

Add your comment

Nickname:
E-mail:
Website:
Comment:

Other articlesgo to homepage

100% Bonus on your $100 Minimum Deposit – AvaTrade

100% Bonus on your $100 Minimum Deposit – AvaTrade(0)

Up to 100% Bonus on your $100 Minimum Deposit. Start forex trading today and in honour of our Irish roots we’ll give you a St. Patricks Day special bonus of up to 100% Link:  100% Special Bonus to Your First Deposit Available to: All new account Ending Date: 31 December 2017 Bonus offer: 100% New

Pro Forex Contest for Demo Trading Accounts – FBS

Pro Forex Contest for Demo Trading Accounts – FBS(0)

FBS Pro Forex Contest for Demo Trading Account Total Prize fund $1000. It is necessary to open a forex demo contest account and finish with the biggest balance. Link:  Event for Malaysian and Thailand clients Link:  $88.8 Forex No Deposit Bonus Link:  $123 Forex No Deposit Bonus Link:  100% Forex Deposit Bonus Promotion Contest conditions

100 USD Wanga Bonus Promotion – Fort Financial

100 USD Wanga Bonus Promotion – Fort Financial(0)

100 USD Free Wanga Bonus Promotion to All New and Existing Traders. You can withdraw your Free Wanga Bonus Amount or use it for further forex trading on your account Link:  100 USD Wanga Bonus Promotion Link:  $5 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link:  Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit Link:  15% Support Margin

$50 Forex No Deposit Free Power Bonus – GIC Market

$50 Forex No Deposit Free Power Bonus – GIC Market(0)

$50 Forex No Deposit Free Power Bonus Promotion to All New Traders. $50 Forex No Deposit Free Bonus is one of the unique promotions that offer new traders money to open a live trading account. Link: $50 Forex No Deposit Power Bonus Available to: New and Existing Traders. Ending Date: 31 December 2017 Bonus Offer:

$3500 Free Forex No Deposit Trading Bonus – InstaForex

$3500 Free Forex No Deposit Trading Bonus – InstaForex(0)

Get $3500 Free Forex No Deposit Trading Bonus Start Trading Forex and CFD Without Deposit and Without Risks. The new $3500 No Deposit Forex Bonus from InstaForex is an exciting opportunity to start Forex Trade. Link:  $3500 Free No Deposit Bonus Link:  Get 250% Bonus for First Deposit Link:  100% Deposit Bonus Campaign Available to: 

Up to $1000 Welcome Bonus of Every Deposit – FortFS

Up to $1000 Welcome Bonus of Every Deposit – FortFS(0)

Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit to All New and Existing Traders. You Deposited $1000 on your account, chose a 50% bonus and got 500 extra dollars to the initial deposit amount. Link:  $50 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus Link: Up to 50% Bonus of Every Deposit Link: $5 Forex No Deposit Welcome Bonus

30 USD Forex No Deposit Bonus Promotion – Tickmill

30 USD Forex No Deposit Bonus Promotion – Tickmill(0)

$30 No Deposit Forex Welcome Bonus Campaign to All new traders. $30 Free Forex Welcome Account is available to all new clients who expressed a wish for it during the registration process. Link:  Weekly Demo Race Trading Contest Link:  $30 Free Welcome Bonus Campaign Link:  Forex Monthly Live Trading Contest Available to: All new traders

$25 Deposit and earn $5000 Cashback Bonus – UFX

$25 Deposit and earn $5000 Cashback Bonus – UFX(0)

100% Forex Real Money Cash-back Bonus Promotion to all new and existing clients. Join and gain exclusive access to the ONLY online trading 100% Forex Cashback rewards bonus program Link:  $5000 BitCoin Rewards Bonus Promo Link:  $50 Free and Trade in Three Steps Link:  $50 Free No Deposit Bitcoin Bonus Link:  100% Real Money CashBack

300% Deposit Bonus Plus Free Forex Signals – MarketsYes

300% Deposit Bonus Plus Free Forex Signals – MarketsYes(0)

300% Tradable Bonus Promotion up to $3000. MarketsYes is offering all prospective clients’ deposit for up to 3000 USD/EUR/GBP a 300% Forex Tradable Bonus. Link:  300% Tradable Bonus Promotion Available to: All new traders Ending Date: 31 December 2018 Bonus Offer: 300% Tradable Bonus Promotion up to $3000 to all new traders SETTLEMENT COMPANY CORPORATION

Receive $100 Free on your Trading Account – FxFinance

Receive $100 Free on your Trading Account – FxFinance(0)

Receive $100 Free on your FxFinance Live Trading Account. $100 Free offer is valid for an unlimited period of time, for all those who have made accruals for the shares before August 31, 2017. Link:  Receive $100 Free on your Account Available to: All new trading account Ending Date: 31 August 2017 Terms of action:

read more

Forex Featured Broker

Contacts and information

ForexDepositNews.com Forex Deposit Bonus, Forex No Deposit Bonus, Forex Live Contest, Forex Demo Contest, Free Forex Bonus Forex Brokers Review and Other All Forex promotions.

ForexDepositNews.com

Social networks

Most popular categories